BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Burlington Notre Dame

Class: 1A Class Rank: 45 Conference: (15-6) Overall: (16-8) Overall Strength =   72.87

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Away    L *  52.37  55   66   2A  117 (10-13) Louisa-Muscatine      -20.16      9.16                      
  2 12/01/2005 Away    L *  68.64  43   46   2A   88 (15- 9) Mediapolis             -3.89      0.89                      
  3 12/02/2005 Away    L *  65.02  39   42   2A  102 (12-10) Danville               -7.52      4.52                      
  4 12/06/2005 Home    W *  59.07  57   55   2A  119 ( 6-16) West Burlington       -13.46     15.46                      
  5 12/09/2005 Away    L *  68.21  57   66   1A   35 (19- 5) Fort Madison Trinity   -4.32     -4.68                      
  6 12/10/2005 Away    L    71.89  60   68   3A   44 (11-11) Fort Madison           -0.65     -7.35                      
  7 12/20/2005 Away    W *  59.40  51   43   1A  117 ( 4-19) New London            -13.13     21.13                      
  8 12/22/2005 Home    W *  86.74  53   28   1A   91 ( 9-13) Keokuk Stritch         14.21     10.79  was 12/13/2005 now 12/22/2005
  9 01/03/2006 Home    W *  93.84  61   35   2A   88 (15- 9) Mediapolis             21.31      4.69                      
 10 01/06/2006 Away    L *  60.05  47   65   2A   61 (16- 6) Eldon Cardinal        -12.48     -5.52                      
 11 01/10/2006 Away    W *  71.88  48   37   2A  119 ( 6-16) West Burlington        -0.66     11.66                      
 12 01/13/2006 Home    W *  80.21  58   42   2A  102 (12-10) Danville                7.68      8.32                      
 13 01/17/2006 Away    W *  80.55  65   50   1A   91 ( 9-13) Keokuk Stritch          8.01      6.99                      
 14 01/23/2006 Home    W *  75.41  47   45   1A   35 (19- 5) Fort Madison Trinity    2.88     -0.88  was 01/20 now 01/23 
 15 01/24/2006 Home    W *  64.60  57   40   1A  117 ( 4-19) New London             -7.93 *   24.93                      
 16 01/31/2006 Home    W    73.01  69   41   1A  128 ( 4- 8) Bettendorf Rivermont    0.48 *   27.52                      
 17 02/03/2006 Away    W *  67.00  45   44   1A   89 ( 8-14) Fairfield Maharishi    -5.53      6.53                      
 18 02/04/2006 Home    L    72.53  48   63   EX   40 ( 1- 0) Nauvoo-Colusa IL        0.00    -15.00                      
 19 02/06/2006 Home    W *  76.61  62   59   1A   38 (17- 8) Lone Tree               4.08     -1.08                      
 20 02/09/2006 Home    W *  93.29  70   51   2A   67 (18- 6) Packwood Pekin         20.75     -1.75                      
 21 02/14/2006 Away    W *  80.21  62   44   1A   98 ( 6-17) Riverside Highland      7.68     10.32                      
 22 02/17/2006 Home    W *  75.61  48   46   1A   38 (17- 8) Lone Tree               3.08     -1.08                      
 23 02/22/2006 Home    W *  83.23  61   33   1A  107 ( 5-17) Farmington Harmony     10.70     17.30                      
 24 02/27/2006 Home    L *  61.41  32   44   1A   35 (19- 5) Fort Madison Trinity  -11.12     -0.88                      
      Averages              72.53  54.0 48.0

Best game:   93.84 = 26 point win over Mediapolis
Worst game:  52.37 = 11 point loss to Letts Louisa-Muscatine
Team stdev:  10.72